Championship Outright Tips 2020-21
The Championship looks even more wide open than usual this season.
Usually there's plenty of value and the upcoming campaign looks to be no different.
I've studied numerous different sites to see what I can sniff out.
Note: The following tips are based on what looks like good value, as opposed to whether they're "guaranteed" to happen.
Best bet: Brentford 13/2
One of the differences to last season is it's hard to nail down who will definitely be challenging for the title.
Most suspected Leeds, Fulham, West Brom etc. would be up there come the end of the season.
This year I've seen multiple different sides tipped to be Champions.
For me, the only side you can say will definitely be up there is Brentford.
Many expected a mass exodus of players after losing in the Playoff final, so far that's not happened.
Top scorer Ollie Watkins will likely go but a replacement has already been recruited in Ivan Toney, who scored 24 goals in 32 games for Peterborough last season, and you wouldn't bet against him continuing to hit the back of the net for a Brentford side that creates a lot of chances.
Said Benrahma is the other one whose future is up in the air at the moment.
The Second Tier Player of the Season seemed destined for a move to the Premier League but as time goes on, that's looking less and less likely.
If he stays it would be a massive boost for Brentford but even if he does depart, a ready made replacement is already at the club in Tarique Fosu.
The former Oxford winger has impressed in short cameos, however it wouldn't surprise me if Brentford had a shortlist of players to splash the Benrahma cash on.
Aside from the forward line, the rest of the side is the most complete in the division.
They're clear favourites for me.
Next best: Cardiff 16/1
Neil Harris has done a marvelous job since coming in at Cardiff.
The Bluebirds picked up more points than automatically-promoted West Brom since his appointment in November.
In addition to that, no side has lost fewer games than them.
Defensively they became very solid, Curtis Nelson in particular at the back has been a revelation.
Going forwards were the areas which required improvement and that's been done.
Kieffer Moore has signed from Wigan and despite not having a prolific goalscoring record at Championship level, he's a player who's getting better and better.
Sheyi Ojo has also been added to provide depth alongside Josh Murphy, Junior Hoilett and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
Finally, it's an incredibly experienced side full of players who have won promotion from the Championship before.
Longshot: Millwall 25/1
Like Neil Harris, Gary Rowett has made quite the impact since taking on his current job.
He took Millwall from 17th to the brink of the Playoffs, and no side outside the final top 6 picked up more points since his appointment last season.
If there was one thing that let them down, it was possibly relying a bit too much on Matt Smith and Jed Wallace to score the goals, and the contribution of the latter in particular dried up towards the end of the season.
The addition of highly-rated striker Troy Parrott from Spurs should address that, and he could end up having the same kind of impact in the Championship that we've seen from the likes of Rhian Brewster and Tammy Abraham in recent times.
The defence is already one of the most solid in the league, with Jake Cooper and Shaun Hutchinson both impressing massively last season.
The main question marks are who's going to play on the opposite flank to Wallace?
And can they bring in someone else to play alongside Ryan Woods in midfield?
Both those questions could be answered before the transfer window closes and if they are, Millwall could go very well this season.
9/4 on a top 6 finish also looks an appetising price.
Best bet: Rotherham 5/2
Considering Wycombe are as short as 1/2, I was surprised to see Rotherham at a much bigger price.
Paul Warne's side are better than the Chairboys, but I wouldn't say THAT much better.
The Millers have struggled every time they've been in the Championship in recent memory, it's hard to see that changing this season.
They've failed to add many players in the summer, and the ones which have been brought in fail to inspire much confidence.
There are a few good players there, Michael Ihiekwe, Matt Crooks and Freddie Ladapo amongst them.
A massive blow is the influential midfielder Daniel Barlaser hasn't returned on loan from Newcastle (yet... he has been linked with a move back).
But even if he were to return, there seems too many teams in a better position than Paul Warne's side.
Next best: Sheffield Wednesday 9/4
Wednesday is not a great place at the moment.
The obvious downside in the 12 point deduction.
We saw with Wigan last season how critical it can be, they finished 13th but losing 12 points is massive in a division as close as the Championship.
It's hard to see Wednesday accomplishing any better than a 13th place finish this season.
Even with a points deduction, they'd probably be a contender for relegation.
Only Hull picked up fewer points than them in the second half of last season and there's a negative vibe at the club which doesn't seem to be going away.
The squad is a bit of a mess as well, seven senior players left the club on a free in the summer, including two of their best players in Steven Fletcher and Morgan Fox.
At the time of writing, Jordan Rhodes is the only out-and-out striker at the club, and he managed to score in only one game last season.
It's not looking good for the Owls...
Longshot: Huddersfield 8/1
I was shocked when I saw this price.
There is no way on earth Huddersfield should be this big a price.
The odds indicate there are 9 teams more likely to go down than them, and it could be further from the truth.
The Terries could soon be without top scorer Karlan Grant, while Steve Mounie is also being linked with a move away.
That would leave Danny Ward and Fraizer Campbell as their only senior strikers, and the latter doesn't have the best fitness record.
The first choice goalkeeper is expected to be Ben Hamer, who was one of the worst performing 'keepers statistically last season.
The defence was one of the worst in the league last season and looks like it could be even worse now.
The saving grace is that Bielsa-understudy Carlos Corberan has come in as manager, however he's ultimately inexperienced and this squad might not be good enough to progress.
Best bet: Ivan Toney 10/1
A Brentford striker has managed to score 25+ goals in the last two seasons.
Neal Maupay, Ollie Watkins and now Ivan Toney is the latest hitman to take up the role.
The reason Brentford's strikers do so well is because they have so many chances created for them.
Only Patrick Bamford had more shots from inside the box than Ollie Watkins last season.
With the former winger expected to leave, Toney can show why he attracted so much interest over the summer.
24 goals in 32 games for Peterborough is hard to ignore and with the supply line in front of him, you'd expect him to challenging for the top scorer prize come the end of the campaign.
Next best: Troy Parrott 33/1
As mentioned earlier, Troy Parrott is very highly rated by those at Spurs.
There were calls for him to play while Harry Kane was out injured and big things are expected of him in the future.
This is his first real chance to show what he can do, and you only need to think of the likes of Rhian Brewster and Tammy Abraham to see what can happen when a top youngster is finally let loose.
33/1 could look like a ridiculous price in hindsight.
Longshot: Tyrese Campbell 40/1
Son of former Premier League striker Kevin Campbell, Tyrese showed glimpses of brilliance last season with Stoke.
He recorded 9 goals but was often restricted to substitute appearances.
You'd expect him to play more this season, how much more is the big question.
Stoke boss Michael O'Neill isn't particularly known for relying on youngsters.
However Campbell's conversion rate compared to his expected goals is clinical, and given enough chance he could make himself undroppable for the Potters.
Barnsley to finish as the top Yorkshire club 3/1 (Sky Bet)
It's weird to see so many strugglers in this market.
It seems like this will be between Barnsley and Middlesbrough.
Middlesbrough have the Neil Warnock factor but the squad desperately needs improvement.
Barnsley on the other hand are in the ascendancy under Gerhard Struber.
They managed to stay up only through Wigan's points deduction but either way, Barnsley were getting better and better.
The defence is a lot more solid and goals were never really a problem anyway, with Conor Chaplin and Cauley Woodrow not shy about hitting the back of the net.
Barnsley could break into the top-half this season, but that would likely require a couple more additions.
Brentford to score the most goals 4/1 (Sky Bet)
Brentford won this market last season and are favourites to do it again this campaign, and with good reason.
When you create as many chances as they do, you're going to score a hell of a lot of goals.
Bryan Mbeumo will be looking to improve on his tally from last season, while Ivan Toney can continue to show how clinical he is in the league above.
If Said Benrahma stays then this will only improve their chances.
Josh Dasilva also isn't shy about having a pop from distance and recorded double figures last season, don't be surprised if he manages that again.
4/1 seems a big price for a side with a great record of tearing teams apart.