Championship Betting Tips: Toney To Keep Impressing
The fixture list is the Championship is starting to gather pace, with games in midweek meaning starting to crop up.
With the coronavirus pandemic and the disruption it's caused, that means matches will be coming thick and fast.
As the season goes on it will undoubtedly benefit the bigger squads.
For now though, I'd say it's not something to worry about too much YET.
It's still early and sides are still finding their feet.
Regular followers of my tips will be shocked to find I haven't picked Wycombe to lose without scoring this week.
The value on that has finally dropped to odds-on, as I said it would a few weeks ago (having said that, I still wouldn't put you off backing Norwich to win to nil!).
Therefore I've had to change tact this week, in what's a tricky weekend of fixtures.
Here are my three best bets:
Millwall to beat Barnsley - 11/10 (William Hill)
After a rocky start to the season, Millwall are finally getting going.
Gary Rowett began setting up with a back three but has switched to a four in the last couple of games and it's working marvellously, picking up two straight wins.
We and many other Championship pundits were tipping the Lions to be dark horses for promotion this season and they're now starting to look more like how we were expecting.
Admittedly the last two games have been against sides who could very well be at the lower end of the table (Wycombe and Luton) come the end of the campaign, but Barnsley will also likely be there.
The Tykes are still searching for their first league win of the season and caretaker boss Adam Murray is in charge of the departure of Gerhard Struber to America.
They've looked better going forward but more shaky at the back.
Millwall on the other hand have been ruthless offensively in the last couple of games, and more often than not, are solid defensively.
11/10 looks good value.
Reading and Rotherham to draw 1-1 - 11/2 (Bet 365)
Regular listeners of the podcast will know I don't rate Reading.
Despite 16 points from a possible 18, they've been very fortunate.
The Royals have been winning games despite barely creating anything and that was emphasised when they beat a terrible Wycombe side 1-0 in midweek, having just one shot on target.
They won't keep winning games playing like that.
They come up against Rotherham on Saturday, who I'm still trying to work out.
From what I've seen of them so far, I can't see them being in anything other than a relegation battle, but they've played alright in some games against tough opposition.
The most eye-catching part of their results this season is half of them have finished 1-1.
I can definitely see that happening again in a contest between two low-scoring sides... that or 0-0.
A bonus with Bet 365 is you get your money back on correct scores if a game ends goalless.
Therefore, a small wager at 11/2 on 1-1 looks a solid bet.
Ivan Toney to score anytime against Stoke - 17/10 (Paddy Power)
The Brentford hitman has got 7 goals in his last 4 games.
He. Is. On. Fire.
Which is why I was so shocked to see him as big as 17/10 to score anytime.
I wouldn't have blamed the bookies if they were to have him odds-on, but you won't hear me complaining.
Since the start of last season, he's averaging a goal every 108 minutes and he's taken no time in adjusting to life in the Championship since moving from Peterborough.
The bookies now have him as short as 6/4 to finish as the league top scorer.
So we get it, Ivan Toney gets a lot of goals, but what about the opposition this weekend?
Well Stoke were just starting to look quite solid defensively but turned in a shaky performance against Barnsley in midweek.
In might have just been a one off but no matter how solid you are at the back, there won't be many Championship sides who keep out Brentford this season.
With Ivan Toney in the form that he's in, those odds are way too good to turn down.