Championship Betting Tips: Back Bournemouth to burn the Forest
This past weekend was a frustrating one for my picks.
Late injury news, early red cards and daft penalties meant we had no winners but nevermind.
I'm feeling particularly confident about these midweek tips so let's get back to winning ways!
Emi Buendia to have 3 or more shots against Stoke - 9/5 (Betfair/Paddy Power)
The Argentine has been getting more and more threatening for Norwich every week.
While he's usually known for creating chances, Buendia has shown in recent weeks that he's not afraid to have a pop.
In the 9 games he's played, he's had 3 or more shots in 6 of them.
In fact, prior to the international break, he was on a run of three matches where he had 5 shots a game.
Norwich come up against a Stoke side who are fresh off the back of conceding three against Huddersfield.
Only six teams have conceded more goals than the Potters this season, although in fairness the statistics indicate they're not the worst side defensively.
Either way, Buendia to get three shots here looks terrific value at 9/5.
Bournemouth to beat Forest and both teams to score - 3/1 (Bet 365)
The more I see of Bournemouth, the more they look like the side to beat this season.
Even when losing to Reading at the weekend they were knocking the ball round with so much purpose and really turned on the style in the second half.
David Brooks really shouldn't be playing in the Championship, while the likes of Arnaut Danjuma, Dominic Solanke and Lewis Cook are all superb at this level.
I have them down as the team most likely to win the league at the moment and have only managed one loss so far this season.
They should be able to get past a Forest side which is still finding its feet under Chris Hughton.
Two wins before the international break against strugglers Coventry and Wycombe, was followed up with a loss to Barnsley at the weekend.
However they did create chances, and if there's one thing you can't say haven't been doing this season, it's creating chances.
Only four sides in the Championship average a better expected goals going forwards this season and with the clinical Lyle Taylor, they'll fancy their chances of breaking down the Bournemouth defence.
The Cherries have also managed just one clean sheet in their last seven games.
Middlesbrough to win to nil against Derby - 2/1 (Bet 365)
This one is pretty elementary.
It's the best defence in the league versus the worst attack.
Derby have been dreadful so far and despite the sacking of Phillip Cocu, there wasn't a dramatic improvement against Bristol City on Saturday.
The Rams are miles behind in terms of chances created, rock bottom of the league.
They've struggled going forwards in near enough every game this season.
Not ideal when you're coming up against a team which has conceded just one goal from open play.
The defensive statistics for Boro are simply ridiculous.
Before the weekend, they managed to keep six clean sheets in seven games and have conceded just six all season.
A Boro clean sheet can be backed at 5/4 (Sky Bet) which is good value in itself.
However I fancy Neil Warnock's boys to get the three points here.
The issue has been scoring goals, but they have been creating chances.
Only seven teams have a better expected goals going forwards and when you consistently create like Boro are doing, it usually gets results eventually.
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